1860 München vs MSV Duisburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
13.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1860 München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1967 |
SER
2 - 2
MUN
31%
23%
45%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1967 |
FCN
1 - 1
MUN
44%
25%
31%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1967 |
MUN
0 - 3
KAI
73%
16%
11%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1967 |
BRE
2 - 2
MUN
41%
25%
34%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1967 |
MUN
3 - 3
STU
72%
17%
11%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1967 |
MSV
2 - 3
EBT
56%
24%
20%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1967 |
MON
1 - 1
MSV
54%
23%
24%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1967 |
MSV
0 - 1
EIN
48%
25%
27%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1967 |
HSV
1 - 3
MSV
55%
24%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1967 |
MSV
3 - 1
NEU
72%
16%
12%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |