1860 München vs MSV Duisburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
13.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1860 München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1964 |
HSV
3 - 2
MUN
69%
16%
15%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1964 |
FCP
0 - 1
MUN
60%
20%
20%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1964 |
S04
2 - 2
MUN
36%
24%
41%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1964 |
MUN
3 - 1
BRE
62%
18%
20%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 1964 |
KOL
1 - 1
MUN
70%
16%
14%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1964 |
MSV
2 - 1
S04
56%
22%
22%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1964 |
BRE
1 - 0
MSV
63%
19%
18%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1964 |
MSV
2 - 0
FCN
29%
23%
49%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 1964 |
BVB
0 - 0
MSV
71%
16%
13%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1964 |
MSV
1 - 0
HAN
74%
16%
10%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |