Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/32
Global 2-9
1860 München vs Legia Warszawa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
17.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1860 München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1968 |
HAN
3 - 2
MUN
41%
24%
35%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1968 |
WAR
6 - 0
MUN
46%
23%
31%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1968 |
MUN
0 - 4
MON
60%
21%
19%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1968 |
OFC
2 - 3
MUN
36%
24%
39%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1968 |
BRE
4 - 1
MUN
54%
23%
24%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Legia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1968 |
WAR
6 - 0
MUN
46%
23%
31%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1966 |
WAR
2 - 2
SAC
53%
23%
24%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1966 |
SAC
3 - 0
WAR
60%
20%
20%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1965 |
MUN
0 - 0
WAR
74%
14%
12%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1965 |
WAR
0 - 4
MUN
44%
22%
34%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |