Cup Winners Cup Quarter-finals
Global 4-0
1860 München vs Legia Warszawa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.1%
11.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1860 München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1965 |
HAN
0 - 2
MUN
22%
23%
54%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1965 |
WAR
0 - 4
MUN
44%
22%
34%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 1965 |
MUN
9 - 0
KSC
73%
15%
12%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1965 |
MUN
6 - 4
HER
87%
8%
5%
|
84 | 62 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1965 |
MUN
1 - 2
M05
90%
7%
3%
|
84 | 46 | 38 | 0 |
Matches
Legia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1965 |
WAR
0 - 4
MUN
44%
22%
34%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1964 |
WAR
1 - 0
GAL
58%
20%
21%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 1964 |
GAL
1 - 0
WAR
52%
22%
26%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 1964 |
WAR
2 - 1
GAL
57%
21%
22%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 1964 |
WAR
1 - 0
ADM
65%
18%
17%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |