1860 München vs FC 08 Homburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
25.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1860 München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1976 |
STU
3 - 2
MUN
56%
22%
22%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1976 |
MUN
3 - 0
AUG
64%
21%
16%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1976 |
FCH
1 - 6
MUN
23%
19%
58%
|
74 | 48 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1976 |
WAL
2 - 1
MUN
46%
25%
29%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1976 |
MUN
3 - 0
BSV
78%
15%
7%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1976 |
HOM
2 - 1
RVO
66%
20%
14%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1976 |
HOM
2 - 1
OFC
53%
23%
23%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 1976 |
STU
5 - 1
HOM
54%
23%
23%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1976 |
HOM
5 - 0
AUG
66%
19%
14%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1976 |
WAL
2 - 1
HOM
45%
26%
30%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |