1860 München vs Hessen Kassel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.9%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6%
4-0
6%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.2%
9.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1860 München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1962 |
MUN
3 - 3
KSC
65%
18%
17%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1962 |
WAL
0 - 2
MUN
46%
22%
32%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 1962 |
OFC
2 - 1
MUN
75%
14%
11%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 1962 |
MUN
1 - 2
VFR
76%
14%
10%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1962 |
REU
2 - 2
MUN
64%
18%
18%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Hessen Kassel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1955 |
HES
1 - 1
TSA
49%
23%
28%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1955 |
EIN
3 - 0
HES
79%
12%
9%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1955 |
HES
1 - 1
KSC
36%
23%
41%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1955 |
SSV
3 - 1
HES
73%
15%
12%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 1955 |
HES
1 - 2
FSV
53%
22%
26%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |