1860 München vs Greuther Fürth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
37.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1860 München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2009 |
RWA
0 - 0
MUN
38%
26%
36%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2009 |
MUN
1 - 3
KSC
35%
28%
37%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
ROS
2 - 1
MUN
49%
25%
26%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
MUN
2 - 0
TUS
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
PAD
0 - 1
MUN
44%
25%
31%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Greuther Fürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
SGF
2 - 4
ARB
50%
25%
25%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
COT
1 - 3
SGF
47%
26%
27%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2009 |
SGF
4 - 0
FSV
69%
18%
12%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
KAI
2 - 1
SGF
46%
26%
28%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
WWO
0 - 1
SGF
12%
20%
68%
|
70 | 41 | 29 | 0 |