1860 München vs Greuther Fürth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
25.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1860 München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
AAA
5 - 1
MUN
42%
26%
33%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2004 |
ROT
0 - 0
MUN
32%
25%
43%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2004 |
MUN
5 - 1
ROT
65%
20%
14%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
SAA
4 - 1
MUN
19%
24%
57%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2004 |
MUN
2 - 0
SGD
73%
18%
9%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Greuther Fürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
SGF
3 - 2
ROT
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2004 |
ROT
1 - 0
SGF
28%
26%
47%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2004 |
SGF
2 - 0
SAA
67%
20%
13%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
SGD
2 - 2
SGF
21%
26%
53%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2004 |
SGF
0 - 1
KOL
45%
25%
30%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |