1860 München vs FSV Frankfurt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
13.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1860 München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
FCH
2 - 3
MUN
27%
26%
47%
|
74 | 48 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1978 |
MUN
4 - 0
FRE
70%
18%
12%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 1978 |
BAU
2 - 0
MUN
30%
26%
44%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 1978 |
MUN
4 - 0
AUG
67%
19%
14%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1978 |
WAL
1 - 1
MUN
52%
23%
25%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
FSV Frankfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
FSV
3 - 2
BNE
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1978 |
KSC
2 - 1
FSV
72%
17%
11%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1978 |
FCH
5 - 1
FSV
30%
26%
44%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 1978 |
FSV
4 - 0
FRE
60%
22%
18%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 1978 |
BAU
3 - 1
FSV
45%
25%
30%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -2 |