1860 München vs Fortuna Düsseldorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
30.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1860 München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1977 |
MUN
7 - 1
FAE
88%
8%
4%
|
74 | 11 | 63 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1977 |
STP
4 - 1
MUN
55%
23%
23%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1977 |
MUN
1 - 2
STU
50%
24%
26%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1977 |
KAI
1 - 0
MUN
62%
20%
18%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1977 |
MUN
2 - 4
EIN
29%
23%
48%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1977 |
F95
4 - 1
ROT
63%
18%
19%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1977 |
F95
0 - 0
MSV
56%
22%
23%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1977 |
F95
1 - 3
MON
39%
25%
36%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1977 |
F95
2 - 1
SAA
66%
19%
15%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1977 |
BVB
1 - 2
F95
54%
23%
23%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |