Cup Winners Cup Last 16
Global 2-1
1860 München vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
17.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1860 München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1964 |
MUN
2 - 1
MSV
70%
17%
13%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1964 |
HSV
3 - 2
MUN
69%
16%
15%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1964 |
FCP
0 - 1
MUN
60%
20%
20%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1964 |
S04
2 - 2
MUN
36%
24%
41%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1964 |
MUN
3 - 1
BRE
62%
18%
20%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1964 |
SLB
4 - 0
FCP
74%
15%
11%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1964 |
FCP
2 - 0
BEL
72%
17%
12%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1964 |
FCP
0 - 1
MUN
60%
20%
20%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1964 |
SPB
2 - 0
FCP
23%
23%
54%
|
86 | 59 | 27 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1964 |
FCP
1 - 2
ACA
81%
13%
7%
|
87 | 62 | 25 | -1 |