1860 München vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
42.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1860 München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2008 |
AAA
2 - 0
MUN
62%
21%
17%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
MUN
3 - 3
WEH
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2008 |
ROS
0 - 1
MUN
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2008 |
MUN
0 - 1
AUG
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
MUN
0 - 1
ROT
60%
23%
17%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2008 |
FCN
4 - 0
ROS
55%
25%
20%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2008 |
OSN
1 - 1
FCN
25%
27%
49%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
FCN
2 - 1
SGF
52%
25%
23%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
ING
0 - 3
FCN
29%
27%
44%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2008 |
FCN
0 - 0
FSV
68%
21%
12%
|
76 | 55 | 21 | 0 |