1860 München vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
14%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1860 München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2002 |
BVB
1 - 0
MUN
54%
23%
23%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2002 |
HSV
1 - 0
MUN
44%
24%
32%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2002 |
MUN
2 - 2
WOL
53%
23%
24%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
MUN
3 - 1
ARB
59%
21%
20%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
MON
0 - 1
MUN
41%
25%
35%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2002 |
FCN
1 - 3
HSV
33%
25%
42%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2002 |
ARB
0 - 1
FCN
53%
23%
23%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2002 |
OFC
2 - 3
FCN
19%
24%
57%
|
76 | 55 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
FCN
2 - 1
MON
38%
25%
37%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
S04
1 - 1
FCN
66%
20%
13%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | +1 |