1860 München vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
25%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1860 München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 1980 |
MSV
1 - 0
MUN
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1980 |
MUN
2 - 2
RTV
52%
24%
23%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1980 |
EIN
1 - 1
MUN
75%
15%
10%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1980 |
MUN
3 - 2
KAI
30%
25%
45%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1980 |
MSV
1 - 0
MUN
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 1980 |
FCN
2 - 3
HSV
28%
25%
47%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1980 |
STU
2 - 1
FCN
74%
15%
10%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1980 |
FCN
1 - 1
DAR
60%
21%
19%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1980 |
MTV
0 - 1
FCN
32%
26%
43%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1980 |
FCN
1 - 1
KSC
54%
22%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |