1860 München vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
33.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1860 München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1964 |
BVB
1 - 1
MUN
58%
19%
23%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1964 |
MUN
2 - 2
KAI
72%
15%
13%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1964 |
MUN
6 - 0
ULU
86%
9%
5%
|
84 | 60 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1964 |
KSC
1 - 5
MUN
41%
23%
37%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1964 |
ULU
0 - 4
MUN
28%
22%
50%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1964 |
FCN
3 - 2
S04
75%
14%
11%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1964 |
HAN
2 - 2
FCN
13%
20%
67%
|
87 | 62 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1964 |
FCN
2 - 0
HER
90%
7%
3%
|
87 | 63 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1964 |
STU
3 - 1
FCN
28%
23%
50%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1964 |
FCN
2 - 0
NEU
80%
12%
9%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |