1860 München vs Bayern München II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.9%
Win probability
3.5
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.8%
6-0
4.4%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.8%
5-0
7.6%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.4%
4-0
10.8%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.8%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
7.2%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
7.2%
2.9%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1860 München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1982 |
MUN
2 - 1
HEI
84%
11%
5%
|
77 | 40 | 37 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1982 |
HEI
1 - 1
MUN
20%
24%
57%
|
78 | 39 | 39 | -1 |
| 29 May. 1982 |
MUN
5 - 2
OFC
50%
24%
27%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 May. 1982 |
WAT
1 - 1
MUN
35%
26%
40%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1982 |
MUN
6 - 1
KFC
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Bayern München II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1982 |
BAY
5 - 3
WER
61%
19%
20%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1977 |
BYM
5 - 3
BAY
99%
1%
0%
|
47 | 88 | 41 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1976 |
BAY
2 - 1
STU
19%
17%
64%
|
46 | 75 | 29 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1976 |
SPS
1 - 2
BAY
15%
22%
63%
|
46 | 9 | 37 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1976 |
SSD
1 - 3
BAY
15%
22%
63%
|
46 | 7 | 39 | 0 |