1860 München vs FC Augsburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
13.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1860 München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 1978 |
WAL
1 - 1
MUN
52%
23%
25%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 1978 |
MUN
0 - 5
S04
34%
24%
42%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 1978 |
MUN
1 - 3
BAY
60%
22%
18%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 1978 |
MUN
2 - 0
SAA
58%
23%
20%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 1978 |
EBT
2 - 1
MUN
59%
22%
19%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
FC Augsburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 1978 |
AUG
3 - 2
BNE
54%
24%
22%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 1978 |
AUG
4 - 2
OFF
78%
12%
9%
|
60 | 10 | 50 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 1978 |
FSV
2 - 1
AUG
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 May. 1978 |
AUG
8 - 0
PIR
80%
14%
6%
|
60 | 39 | 21 | +1 |
| 19 May. 1978 |
FSV
3 - 0
AUG
53%
24%
23%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |