1860 München vs FC Augsburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
15.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1860 München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1976 |
FCH
1 - 6
MUN
23%
19%
58%
|
74 | 48 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1976 |
WAL
2 - 1
MUN
46%
25%
29%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1976 |
MUN
3 - 0
BSV
78%
15%
7%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1976 |
DAR
0 - 1
MUN
54%
23%
23%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1976 |
MUN
1 - 0
SGF
61%
22%
17%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FC Augsburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1976 |
WWO
1 - 2
AUG
47%
22%
31%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1976 |
AUG
2 - 1
RVO
52%
24%
24%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1976 |
HOM
5 - 0
AUG
66%
19%
14%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1976 |
AUG
1 - 4
STU
41%
25%
34%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1976 |
AUG
0 - 0
OFC
41%
27%
33%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |