1860 München vs B. Dortmund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
38.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1860 München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
S04
0 - 0
MUN
51%
25%
25%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2004 |
MUN
2 - 1
KAI
45%
24%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2003 |
MUN
1 - 2
MON
49%
24%
28%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
HER
1 - 1
MUN
53%
23%
25%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
MUN
1 - 4
ROS
56%
23%
21%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
WOL
2 - 4
BVB
42%
26%
33%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2004 |
BVB
0 - 1
S04
48%
25%
27%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2003 |
BVB
1 - 1
KAI
57%
22%
21%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
MON
2 - 1
BVB
32%
27%
41%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
BVB
1 - 1
HER
57%
23%
20%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |