1860 München vs B. Dortmund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
24.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1860 München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 1977 |
HSV
3 - 0
MUN
69%
18%
13%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1977 |
MUN
0 - 0
S04
38%
25%
37%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 1977 |
MUN
4 - 2
ARB
66%
18%
16%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1977 |
MUN
2 - 0
ARB
64%
18%
17%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 1977 |
MUN
4 - 0
ARB
61%
19%
20%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 1977 |
HER
3 - 1
BVB
64%
19%
17%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 1977 |
TSV
0 - 9
BVB
16%
18%
67%
|
77 | 8 | 69 | -1 |
| 21 May. 1977 |
S04
4 - 2
BVB
70%
17%
13%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1977 |
BVB
1 - 2
KOL
37%
23%
40%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1977 |
TEN
2 - 3
BVB
49%
24%
27%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |