1860 München vs B. Dortmund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
20.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1860 München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1968 |
MUN
0 - 3
BYM
49%
23%
29%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1968 |
STU
1 - 1
MUN
39%
26%
35%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1968 |
MUN
0 - 0
MON
65%
19%
16%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 May. 1968 |
EIN
2 - 1
MUN
54%
22%
23%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1968 |
MUN
0 - 1
HSV
64%
19%
17%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1968 |
HAN
1 - 1
BVB
39%
25%
36%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1968 |
BVB
1 - 3
MON
64%
20%
17%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1968 |
FCN
2 - 1
BVB
57%
22%
21%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 May. 1968 |
BVB
4 - 0
KAI
65%
19%
16%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1968 |
BRE
2 - 1
BVB
57%
22%
21%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |