1860 München vs Austria Wien analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
37.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1860 München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1938 |
MUN
1 - 2
FSV
76%
14%
10%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1938 |
BWB
1 - 2
MUN
43%
22%
35%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1938 |
MUN
3 - 0
DRE
86%
9%
5%
|
69 | 29 | 40 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1936 |
PFO
2 - 0
MUN
27%
22%
50%
|
70 | 46 | 24 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 1936 |
MUN
3 - 3
PFO
83%
11%
6%
|
70 | 46 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Austria Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1941 |
VIE
3 - 1
AUS
54%
20%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1941 |
RAP
1 - 0
AUS
72%
14%
14%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1941 |
AWM
4 - 1
AUS
61%
17%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 1941 |
AUS
3 - 1
GSC
79%
12%
9%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 1941 |
WIE
0 - 6
AUS
54%
20%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |