1860 München vs Arminia Bielefeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
15.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1860 München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 1977 |
MUN
2 - 0
ARB
64%
18%
17%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1977 |
MUN
4 - 0
ARB
61%
19%
20%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 May. 1977 |
ARB
4 - 0
MUN
29%
21%
49%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 May. 1977 |
WUR
1 - 1
MUN
19%
25%
56%
|
78 | 51 | 27 | -1 |
| 13 May. 1977 |
MUN
3 - 0
FCN
54%
23%
24%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 1977 |
MUN
2 - 0
ARB
64%
18%
17%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1977 |
MUN
4 - 0
ARB
61%
19%
20%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 May. 1977 |
ARB
4 - 0
MUN
29%
21%
49%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +2 |
| 22 May. 1977 |
SWE
0 - 2
ARB
49%
25%
26%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 May. 1977 |
ARB
3 - 1
OSN
46%
25%
29%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |