1860 München U19 vs Greuther Fürth U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
16%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
12.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
5º
12º
8º
26
2º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 14 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1860 München U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
AUG
2 - 1
MUN
29%
22%
50%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
MUN
3 - 2
BYM
22%
19%
58%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
ING
1 - 2
MUN
57%
21%
22%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
MUN
1 - 2
HOF
16%
16%
68%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
NUR
0 - 2
MUN
72%
15%
13%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Greuther Fürth U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
GRE
0 - 2
KAR
16%
19%
65%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
FRA
4 - 2
GRE
80%
13%
7%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
GRE
2 - 4
HEI
56%
22%
22%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
MAI
3 - 1
GRE
85%
10%
5%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
GRE
6 - 4
AUG
26%
22%
52%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | +1 |