1860 München U19 vs Bayern München U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
3%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.8%
19%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19%
58%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
5.3%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
7%
2-4
3.2%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
1º
5º
4º
38
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
38 | 38 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 27 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 24 |
3º
|
74% | |
|
|
4º
|
20 | 20 |
4º
|
74% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 19 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 18 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 9 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 5 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1860 München U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
SJR
3 - 1
MUN
18%
19%
63%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
GRE
1 - 2
MUN
24%
21%
56%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
MUN
6 - 1
SSU
80%
13%
8%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
FRA
1 - 1
MUN
66%
18%
16%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
MUN
1 - 2
MAI
25%
20%
55%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Bayern München U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
BYM
4 - 2
SSU
87%
9%
5%
|
28 | 11 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
UNT
0 - 2
BYM
18%
18%
65%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
BYM
5 - 2
GRE
87%
9%
4%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
STU
7 - 2
BYM
53%
21%
27%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -2 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
BYM
5 - 2
SDH
86%
9%
5%
|
29 | 12 | 17 | 0 |