1860 München II vs Viktoria Aschaffenburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
15.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1860 München II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
186
6 - 1
SEL
60%
22%
18%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
GRE
0 - 1
186
35%
25%
40%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
RAI
1 - 2
186
33%
25%
42%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
186
0 - 2
EIN
65%
20%
15%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
FRO
1 - 2
186
25%
24%
51%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
VIK
1 - 0
ELT
45%
23%
32%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
AUG
5 - 0
VIK
58%
20%
22%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
WUR
1 - 1
VIK
55%
21%
24%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
RAI
4 - 0
VIK
45%
24%
31%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -2 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
VIK
4 - 1
ILL
24%
24%
51%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | +5 |