1860 München II vs Mainz 05 II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
21.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1860 München II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2005 |
186
3 - 0
TUS
49%
26%
25%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2005 |
WEH
3 - 0
186
60%
22%
18%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2005 |
186
1 - 1
BAY
26%
26%
48%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
186
1 - 2
AUG
29%
26%
44%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
VFR
3 - 2
186
56%
23%
22%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Mainz 05 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2005 |
MAI
1 - 1
BAY
23%
26%
51%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
TUS
0 - 0
MAI
51%
26%
23%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2005 |
VFR
1 - 1
MAI
68%
19%
13%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2005 |
MAI
1 - 1
HOF
30%
27%
44%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
WEH
2 - 0
MAI
66%
20%
14%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |