1860 München II vs Kottern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
19.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
1º
7º
2º
34
1º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
6º
|
33 | 60 |
1º
|
40.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
43 | 60 |
2º
|
20% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 58 |
3º
|
12.5% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 57 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 56 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 52 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 51 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 51 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
34 | 48 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 44 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 44 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 41 |
12º
|
33.5% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 36 |
13º
|
34% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 31 |
14º
|
32% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 27 |
15º
|
40% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 22 |
16º
|
33% | |
|
17º
|
9 | 21 |
17º
|
42.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
20.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
20% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
59.5% | 99% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1860 München II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
ERL
1 - 1
186
40%
27%
33%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
LAN
4 - 1
186
55%
22%
24%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
186
1 - 0
ISM
61%
21%
18%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
HEI
4 - 2
186
30%
24%
45%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | -2 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
186
4 - 1
TSV
75%
16%
9%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Kottern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
HEI
3 - 2
KOT
50%
23%
28%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
KOT
3 - 2
TSV
75%
15%
11%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
RAI
2 - 2
KOT
25%
22%
53%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
KOT
1 - 3
KIR
52%
23%
25%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -2 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
KOT
4 - 2
FCP
42%
24%
33%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +2 |