1860 München II vs Heimstetten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
43.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
2º
7º
4º
9
1º
15º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
23 | 58 |
1º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 58 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
2º
|
22 | 57 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
18 | 55 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 54 |
5º
|
8% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 52 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 49 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 49 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 47 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
|
14º
|
9 | 46 |
10º
|
7.5% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 45 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
17º
|
4 | 36 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 35 |
13º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 34 |
14º
|
16.5% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 32 |
15º
|
18% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 29 |
16º
|
16.5% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 24 |
17º
|
44% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
12.5% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
9% | 3% |
|
Mid-table
|
77% | 88% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1.5% | 8.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1860 München II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
TSV
2 - 4
186
28%
23%
49%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
SON
1 - 2
186
46%
26%
28%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
186
3 - 1
KIR
53%
22%
25%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
ERL
2 - 1
186
47%
27%
27%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
186
2 - 2
RAI
59%
21%
20%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Heimstetten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
HEI
4 - 0
ISM
76%
15%
9%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
TSA
1 - 2
HEI
46%
24%
31%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
HEI
4 - 1
VFB
84%
11%
5%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
HEI
4 - 1
TSV
51%
22%
27%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
TUR
1 - 3
HEI
20%
24%
56%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | +1 |