1860 München II vs Greuther Fürth II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
19.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1860 München II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
FRE
1 - 3
186
22%
24%
53%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2008 |
186
3 - 0
VIK
67%
20%
13%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2008 |
186
2 - 1
HES
39%
26%
35%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
EIN
1 - 2
186
33%
25%
42%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2008 |
186
2 - 2
ULM
34%
27%
39%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Greuther Fürth II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2008 |
ULM
1 - 1
GRE
66%
20%
14%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
GRE
3 - 1
EIN
50%
24%
27%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
GRE
5 - 1
PFU
31%
27%
42%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +3 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
NUR
1 - 1
GRE
58%
23%
19%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
GRE
1 - 2
KSC
36%
26%
38%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |