1860 München II vs Bayreuth SpVgg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
12.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1860 München II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2003 |
WUR
0 - 3
186
24%
24%
53%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2003 |
186
3 - 0
MEM
76%
15%
9%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2003 |
GRO
4 - 1
186
15%
21%
64%
|
48 | 24 | 24 | -2 |
| 29 Jul. 2003 |
186
2 - 3
TSV
70%
17%
12%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2003 |
ISM
2 - 3
186
29%
26%
46%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2003 |
BAY
0 - 1
UNT
65%
19%
16%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
LAN
2 - 3
BAY
40%
25%
35%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2003 |
BAY
0 - 2
ANS
66%
19%
15%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -2 |
| 30 Jul. 2003 |
FCP
1 - 0
BAY
17%
22%
61%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2003 |
BAY
5 - 1
BAY
72%
17%
11%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | +1 |