1860 München II vs Bayern Hof analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
15.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1860 München II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2002 |
SCS
1 - 1
186
21%
25%
54%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2002 |
186
0 - 2
NUR
51%
23%
26%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2002 |
WEI
0 - 1
186
24%
26%
50%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2002 |
186
1 - 2
GRE
67%
18%
15%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2002 |
JRE
3 - 2
186
16%
22%
62%
|
48 | 24 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Bayern Hof
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2002 |
BAY
2 - 0
FUR
73%
16%
11%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2002 |
TSV
3 - 0
BAY
51%
24%
25%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2002 |
BAY
6 - 0
TSA
78%
14%
7%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2002 |
FEU
4 - 0
BAY
52%
24%
24%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -2 |
| 27 Jul. 2002 |
BAY
0 - 2
BAY
67%
19%
14%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | -1 |