1461 Trabzon vs Karacabey Birlikspor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
21.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1461 Trabzon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
COR
0 - 0
146
49%
24%
27%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
146
0 - 1
BAY
38%
27%
35%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
ERZ
3 - 0
146
82%
13%
5%
|
41 | 66 | 25 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2018 |
146
3 - 1
UMR
11%
19%
70%
|
39 | 64 | 25 | +2 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
146
0 - 0
KOC
38%
25%
37%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Karacabey Birlikspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
KAR
2 - 1
MUL
37%
27%
36%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
ANK
1 - 1
KAR
41%
24%
36%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
KAR
0 - 0
CIZ
61%
20%
18%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
COR
4 - 1
KAR
55%
24%
21%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
KAR
0 - 1
BAY
30%
28%
42%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -1 |