12 de Octubre PY vs Sportivo Iteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.6%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
1.7%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.4%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.3%
82%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.4%
0-3
12.3%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18%
0-4
8.4%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
11.4%
0-5
4.5%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.9%
0-6
2.1%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0%
-6
2.6%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Iteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2019 |
SPO
0 - 1
12O
42%
28%
30%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
DEP
1 - 1
SPO
42%
27%
31%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
SPO
2 - 2
JLM
30%
30%
41%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
RIC
4 - 0
SPO
45%
26%
29%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
SPO
1 - 0
2DE
33%
29%
38%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |