North Macedonia Cup Quarter-finals
Global 2-3
11 Oktomvri vs FK Vardar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
51.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
11 Oktomvri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
11O
2 - 2
SHK
24%
26%
49%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
VAR
2 - 0
11O
69%
21%
10%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
BRE
2 - 0
11O
57%
23%
20%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2011 |
VAR
2 - 0
11O
69%
19%
12%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
11O
1 - 2
SIL
37%
28%
36%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
FK Vardar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
RAB
1 - 2
VAR
56%
25%
20%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
VAR
2 - 0
11O
69%
21%
10%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
VAR
3 - 0
HTR
60%
24%
17%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +2 |
| 19 Oct. 2011 |
VAR
2 - 0
11O
69%
19%
12%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
MET
1 - 1
VAR
47%
29%
24%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |