11 de Septiembre vs San Marcos Arica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.7%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.8%
1-0
1.9%
2-1
1.4%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
3.7%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.3%
84%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
14%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.4%
0-3
13.1%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.7%
0-4
9.1%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
12.2%
0-5
5.1%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
6.5%
0-6
2.4%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0%
-6
2.9%
0-7
1%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marcos Arica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2024 |
USF
0 - 2
SAN
22%
26%
52%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 0
SAN
47%
26%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2024 |
LIM
1 - 3
SAN
57%
23%
20%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 0
SWA
34%
27%
40%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2024 |
DLS
2 - 1
SAN
49%
26%
25%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |