1º Maio Funchal vs Serpa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.4%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
65.2%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.9%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1º Maio Funchal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
1MA
2 - 1
CHO
45%
23%
33%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
1MA
4 - 1
SAN
68%
18%
14%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
AND
5 - 1
1MA
41%
24%
34%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
CAM
1 - 2
1MA
65%
20%
16%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2012 |
1MA
0 - 1
POR
25%
23%
52%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Serpa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
FAB
2 - 1
SER
32%
22%
46%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
SER
2 - 2
RAB
55%
21%
24%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SER
3 - 0
FCC
49%
22%
29%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
SER
2 - 2
FCB
59%
20%
21%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
UNI
1 - 5
SER
33%
23%
45%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | +2 |