Union Berlin vs SV Vorwärts Leipzig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
27.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1951 |
ANK
0 - 1
FCU
38%
23%
39%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1951 |
FCU
1 - 1
SGD
38%
23%
39%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1951 |
HAL
1 - 1
FCU
76%
14%
11%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 1951 |
FCU
1 - 0
BSA
52%
21%
27%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1951 |
WIS
3 - 0
FCU
58%
20%
22%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
SV Vorwärts Leipzig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1951 |
SVL
1 - 1
ZWI
49%
22%
30%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1951 |
BAB
2 - 0
SVL
65%
17%
18%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1951 |
SVL
0 - 3
CHL
42%
23%
36%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1951 |
SVL
2 - 2
ANK
80%
12%
8%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1951 |
SGD
6 - 1
SVL
59%
19%
22%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |