Union Berlin vs FC St Pauli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
22.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
FCU
3 - 1
M05
39%
26%
36%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
ARB
1 - 0
FCU
24%
25%
50%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
FCU
0 - 3
BVB
13%
18%
69%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
AUG
2 - 0
FCU
27%
25%
49%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
FCU
0 - 0
WLO
74%
18%
8%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
ING
1 - 3
STP
20%
24%
57%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
STP
0 - 3
HAN
44%
25%
31%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
SSV
2 - 3
STP
31%
25%
45%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
STP
2 - 2
PAD
42%
26%
33%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2022 |
HSV
2 - 1
STP
46%
24%
30%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |