Union Berlin vs FC St Pauli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
24.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2002 |
REU
0 - 1
FCU
44%
26%
31%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2002 |
SCH
1 - 2
FCU
25%
26%
50%
|
73 | 51 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
FCU
0 - 0
ROT
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2002 |
WAL
1 - 2
FCU
47%
25%
28%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2002 |
FCU
0 - 2
M05
46%
25%
29%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2002 |
STP
7 - 1
EBT
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2002 |
TEN
1 - 2
STP
23%
23%
54%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2002 |
LUB
6 - 0
STP
44%
24%
32%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2002 |
STP
1 - 4
RWA
43%
24%
32%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2002 |
EIN
4 - 0
STP
56%
23%
21%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |