Union Berlin vs SC Freiburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
41%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
4º
15º
14º
30
2º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 86 |
1º
|
89.5% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 75 |
2º
|
83.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 62 |
3º
|
36% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 62 |
4º
|
33.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 56 |
5º
|
29% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 55 |
6º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
30 | 51 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 49 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 49 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 48 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 45 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 38 |
12º
|
33% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 36 |
13º
|
32% | |
|
|
14º
|
21 | 36 |
14º
|
28.5% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 33 |
15º
|
33.5% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 26 |
16º
|
34.5% | |
|
17º
|
12 | 24 |
17º
|
42% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 22 |
18º
|
56.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 2.5% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 11% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 18.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
92% | 68% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
7.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
BYM
3 - 0
FCU
83%
12%
5%
|
89 | 99 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
ARB
2 - 0
FCU
18%
25%
57%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
FCU
1 - 1
EIN
27%
23%
49%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
HOL
0 - 2
FCU
30%
26%
44%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
FCU
2 - 1
BVB
13%
19%
68%
|
89 | 97 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
SC Freiburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
SCF
0 - 0
M05
52%
23%
25%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
SCF
2 - 1
HSV
59%
20%
21%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
RBL
3 - 1
SCF
67%
20%
13%
|
91 | 97 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
SCF
3 - 1
AUG
64%
20%
16%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
BRE
0 - 1
SCF
29%
25%
46%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |