Union Berlin vs Sachsen Leipzig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
14.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1995 |
TEN
0 - 3
FCU
49%
24%
27%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1995 |
FCU
2 - 1
OPT
81%
13%
6%
|
61 | 34 | 27 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1995 |
SGD
0 - 0
FCU
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1995 |
FCU
1 - 0
COT
60%
22%
18%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1995 |
ERZ
1 - 2
FCU
38%
26%
36%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Sachsen Leipzig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1995 |
SAC
3 - 1
BFC
45%
25%
31%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1995 |
SAC
0 - 1
ERF
62%
21%
16%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1995 |
SAC
0 - 2
KSC
13%
19%
68%
|
57 | 84 | 27 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1995 |
TEN
2 - 1
SAC
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1995 |
SAC
2 - 4
COT
57%
24%
20%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |