Union Berlin vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
11.8%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1995 |
BFC
1 - 3
FCU
37%
26%
37%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1995 |
FCU
2 - 2
SAC
65%
21%
14%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1995 |
TEN
0 - 3
FCU
49%
24%
27%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 1995 |
FCU
2 - 1
OPT
81%
13%
6%
|
61 | 34 | 27 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1995 |
SGD
0 - 0
FCU
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1995 |
ERF
3 - 1
SSV
70%
18%
12%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1995 |
BFC
0 - 2
ERF
62%
22%
16%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 1995 |
ERF
1 - 2
LAS
66%
20%
14%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1995 |
SAC
0 - 1
ERF
62%
21%
16%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1995 |
ERF
0 - 2
FSV
72%
17%
11%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | -1 |