Union Berlin vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
28.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 1978 |
ROS
4 - 2
FCU
56%
25%
20%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1978 |
WIS
0 - 4
FCU
39%
27%
34%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1978 |
FCU
3 - 3
CHE
42%
28%
30%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1978 |
ERF
2 - 0
FCU
60%
23%
18%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 May. 1978 |
FCU
1 - 0
FVF
45%
28%
27%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 1978 |
ERF
2 - 1
BWA
57%
24%
20%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1978 |
CHE
1 - 1
ERF
52%
25%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1978 |
ERF
1 - 0
FVF
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1978 |
ERF
2 - 0
FCU
60%
23%
18%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 May. 1978 |
LOK
2 - 1
ERF
69%
18%
13%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |