Union Berlin vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.9%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
1.7%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.7%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.8%
80.3%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
15.3%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23%
0-3
12.6%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
17.3%
0-4
7.8%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
10.1%
0-5
3.9%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.8%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
FCU
3 - 1
MON
30%
24%
46%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2023 |
SPB
1 - 1
FCU
56%
22%
22%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
FCU
1 - 1
AUG
53%
24%
23%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
LEV
4 - 0
FCU
66%
20%
14%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
NAP
1 - 1
FCU
85%
11%
5%
|
85 | 96 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
BET
1 - 1
RMA
15%
22%
64%
|
97 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
RMA
2 - 0
GRA
83%
12%
5%
|
97 | 79 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2023 |
RMA
4 - 2
NAP
48%
24%
28%
|
97 | 96 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
CAD
0 - 3
RMA
9%
18%
73%
|
97 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
RMA
5 - 1
VCF
76%
16%
8%
|
96 | 86 | 10 | +1 |