Union Berlin vs MSV Duisburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
29%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
BAB
3 - 2
FCU
37%
27%
36%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2001 |
FCU
5 - 0
RWA
48%
25%
28%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2001 |
ROT
0 - 3
FCU
47%
26%
27%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2001 |
FCU
1 - 1
HAN
50%
25%
26%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2001 |
FCU
4 - 0
KFC
69%
19%
11%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2001 |
WAL
3 - 1
MSV
50%
24%
26%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2001 |
MSV
3 - 3
REU
59%
23%
19%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2001 |
BAB
3 - 1
MSV
31%
27%
42%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2001 |
MSV
1 - 4
RWA
57%
23%
20%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2001 |
MSV
2 - 2
OSN
72%
18%
10%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |