Union Berlin vs VfB Lübeck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
35.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2007 |
BOR
1 - 1
FCU
49%
27%
24%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2007 |
FCU
0 - 3
WUP
45%
26%
29%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -2 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
MAG
3 - 1
FCU
55%
25%
20%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
FCU
2 - 1
SGD
38%
27%
35%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
ERF
1 - 0
FCU
44%
29%
27%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
VfB Lübeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2007 |
LUB
4 - 0
HER
55%
24%
22%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
WER
2 - 0
LUB
36%
26%
38%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
LUB
1 - 3
BOR
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | -2 |
| 20 Apr. 2007 |
WUP
1 - 1
LUB
39%
26%
35%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2007 |
LUB
0 - 1
MAG
59%
23%
18%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |