Union Berlin vs VfB Lübeck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
40.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
FCU
1 - 3
BOR
53%
23%
24%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
BIE
2 - 1
FCU
38%
26%
36%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
FCU
0 - 2
PAD
47%
25%
28%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2004 |
F95
2 - 0
FCU
32%
27%
41%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2004 |
STP
1 - 0
FCU
39%
27%
35%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
VfB Lübeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2004 |
LUB
2 - 0
STP
54%
23%
23%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
HAM
0 - 2
LUB
36%
25%
39%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
LUB
0 - 1
OSN
53%
24%
23%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
DIE
3 - 0
LUB
33%
25%
42%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -2 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
LUB
1 - 0
HOL
61%
21%
18%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |