Union Berlin vs Karlsruher SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
21.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2004 |
RWA
1 - 0
FCU
50%
25%
26%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
FCU
2 - 2
ROT
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2004 |
OSN
0 - 2
FCU
42%
27%
32%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
FCU
3 - 5
FCN
28%
26%
46%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2004 |
AAA
4 - 2
FCU
55%
25%
21%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Karlsruher SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2004 |
KSC
0 - 1
EIN
40%
26%
34%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
SSV
1 - 1
KSC
53%
24%
23%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
KSC
0 - 1
UNT
38%
26%
36%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2004 |
LUB
2 - 2
KSC
55%
24%
21%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
KSC
1 - 0
MSV
34%
26%
40%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |