Union Berlin vs Fortuna Düsseldorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
13.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2000 |
PRE
1 - 1
FCU
29%
28%
43%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2000 |
FCU
3 - 0
BAB
63%
22%
15%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2000 |
KÖL
0 - 0
FCU
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2000 |
FCU
1 - 2
ERZ
57%
24%
19%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2000 |
SAC
2 - 0
FCU
25%
28%
47%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | -2 |
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2000 |
F95
2 - 0
LUN
61%
22%
17%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2000 |
LUB
1 - 0
F95
57%
23%
20%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2000 |
F95
2 - 3
KFC
42%
27%
31%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2000 |
VER
1 - 1
F95
49%
25%
27%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2000 |
F95
0 - 0
ROT
46%
25%
29%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |